Elliott's Premier Sports Betting - 2006 Results
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GOLF
South African Open - Keith's top two picks finished first and second!
* Ernie Els (win only) W5/1 (adv)
* Trevor Immelman (e/w) 2nd 9/1
Sole match bet - Westwood bt Cabrera (by 4 shots) W10/11
Sole R1 3-ball bet - Tich Moore W5/2 (DH)
FOOTBALL
Sat 30 Dec: Best bet Bolton W1/1, Bolton & Blackburn double W3/1
Mon 1 Jan: LSP on TV bets - HT/FT: Draw/Liverpool W7/2 - "This
bet has won in 4 of Liverpool's last 8 home Premiership games. Indeed the Reds
scored 10 in these 4 games - ALL in the second half."
Note: Over Christmas period 3 winning HT/FT bets from 7 for a 6.5pts LSP and a
92.8% return.
KEITH'S CLIENTS CELEBRATE EASTER AT CHRISTMAS!
Tue 19 Dec: Charlton v Wycombe - Keith gave one of his well researched but
rare goalscorer bets: FGS: JERMAINE EASTER (WYCOMBE) EW 10/1
(1/3 1-4)
"This fast guy has been FGS in all his side's 4 away FA Cup &
Carling Cup games this season including the Carling Cup win at Fulham. He's
scores 14 this season and he appeals EW at 10/1."
GOLF
South African Open - Keith's top two picks finished first and second!
* Ernie Els (win only) W5/1 (adv)
* Trevor Immelman (e/w) 2nd 9/1
Sole match bet - Westwood bt Cabrera (by 4 shots) W10/11
Sole R1 3-ball bet - Tich Moore W5/2 (DH)
FOOTBALL
Tue: Nottm Forest (W1/5) to win 2-0 W13/2
Wed: Sole bet Arsenal to win at Wigan W5/6
Thu: UEFA Cup - Spurs W4/7 and Rangers W4/7
Sat: Both TV games correct - Bolton W21/10 and Liverpool W4/6
Sun: Chelsea W4/7
Overall: Tuesday thru Sunday - 7 out of 10 TV games correct!
ANTE POST BETS
With the Champions League now moving to the knock-out stages, the three ante
post bets were:
Group D: Valencia W11/10
Outright Value: Lyon E/W 20/1 - best price now 9/1
Top Scorer: Ruud Van Nistelrooy E/W 12/1
From the week's Champions League games:
8 bets, 4 won - 11/2, 11/4, 11/8, 2/5 - LSP 6pts, 75%
RETURN
* Galatasaray to beat Liverpool W11/8
* Chelsea to win 2-0 W11/2
* Porto v Arsenal: No first goalscorer W11/4
* Man Utd 'a banker' to beat Benfica W2/5
GOLF
Only five outright bets in three events for a 37.6 point profit
Australian PGA - sole bet - Nick O'Hern W20/1
Dunhill Championship - No.1 pick - Charl Schwartzel e/w 2nd 10/1
World Cup [sole bet] - Sweden e/w 3rd 8/1
During this two week period, Keith took a short (but well deserved!) break
from the service between Monday, 20th November and Sunday, 3rd
December.
GOLF
Richard Green was T2nd 25/1 in the Australian Open golf, one of only two pre-tournament each-way selections.
FOOTBALL
Wed: Holland v England - draw (Best Bet) W11/5 and correct score 1-1 W11/2
Sat: Sole non-TV bet Swindon W7/5
Sun: Wigan v Aston Villa [TV] draw W9/4
Mon: Hartlepool v Rochdale draw W12/5
GOLF
Sole match bet of the week - James Kingston beat Retief Goosen (MC!) W7/4
RUGBY
FRI: Best bet - Australia (-16pts) W10/11
GOLF
Tournament Of Champions
Sole outright bet - Retief Goosen (E/W) T3rd 16/1 (advised
Tuesday morning)
Two nationality bets included Top RoW Michael Campbell (E/W) T2nd
14/1
No match bet and only one 3-ball - Peter O'Malley W2/1
FOOTBALL
TV games
Stoke v Coventry - Stoke W6/5 (Best Bet), Under 2.5 goals W7/10,
Draw/Stoke W9/2
Man City v Newcastle - Under 2.5 Goals W8/13
Blackburn v Man Utd - Man Utd W8/13
Arsenal v Liverpool - Arsenal W11/10 (Best Bet)
RUGBY LEAGUE
New Zealand v GB - Friday's best bet was NZ (-4pts) W10/11
plus HT/FT W11/10
FOOTBALL
Mon: Man City beat Middlesbrough W11/8, Under 2.5 Goals W4/6,
CS - Man City 1-0 W7/1!
THEREFORE OCTOBER TV FOOTBALL PROFIT NOW £5,161 (to £100 level stakes).
Tue: Liverpool win to nil W10/11
Wed: Benfica W10/11
Thu: Spurs v Bruges - HT/FT Draw/Spurs W7/2
Weekend: Newcastle v Sheffield United - Under 2.5 goals W7/10 plus
only non-TV bet - Preston W4/6
GOLF
Tour Championship - Joe Durant (e/w) 3rd 25/1
GOLF
Volvo Masters: No.1 pick Luke Donald EW T2nd 10/1
Chrysler Championship: Given on Monday to members - Joe Durant EW T4th
45/1 plus Jesper Parnevik for Top 10 Finish W11/2.
Only two match bets - both W10/11.
FOOTBALL
Wed: Crewe v Man Utd - Luke Varney (LGS) W14/1 [day's best bet]!
"May well be closer than people think as Crewe have two good
strikers in Varney & Maynard. Varney's scored in 4 of Crewe's last 5 home
league games and been LGS in 3 of them."
plus
Mon: [Best bet] Coventry bt Colchester W10/11
Wed: Blackburn v Chelsea HT/FT X/Chelsea W7/2
Rampant Rotherham show no mercy to injury-ravaged Alex:
Fri: Saturday's best bet was given early - Rotherham bt Crewe W1/1
Sun: 2 TV games - West Ham W6/4 [Best bet], Ipswich W11/8 plus
Over 2.5 goals W17/20
OCTOBER TV FOOTBALL - ALL BETS £4258 PROFIT (to £100 level stakes).
GOLF
Justin Rose (ew) 4th 50/1 & J.M. Lara (ew) T3rd 40/1 plus
Calcavecchia (top ten finish) W12/1 (dh) in just six outright bets.
Plus - sole match bet W10/11 by 14 shots!!
FOOTBALL - Another profitable week - 17.23 LSP on all football
bets
MON: Fulham to win W11/10 & correct score 2-1 W8/1
TUE: Celtic W5/4
WED: Drogba FGS & LGS both W6/1
Liverpool W8/5 & correct score 1-0 W13/2
Weekend: Wigan W11/8, Man Utd (given Saturday) W10/11
SUN: Blackburn v Bolton - two bets - Bolton W2/1 & HT/FT
x-Bolton W13/2
'The fatigue factor could well hit the home side especially in the second
half'
Sat & Sun - BEST BETS both won at 10/11 - Luton 5 Leeds 1 & Man
Utd 2 Liverpool 0
OCTOBER - PROFIT ON TV GAMES NOW £3,809 (£100 level stake) i.e. 38.1 LSP
RUGBY UNION
FRI: Ospreys (+4) W10/11 - two handicap bets so far both WON
Two ante post bets
Premiership - Gloucester (ew) - advised at 8/1 now 7/2
Henieken Cup - Stade Francais - advised at 8/1 now 6/1
OCTOBER - TO DATE:
FOOTBALL - ALL TV GAMES (domestic & International) - LSP 25.91pts.
Last week: Level stakes profit AGAIN on all TV games.
Mon: Woking W6/5, FGS/LGS Guiseppe Sole W4/1
Wed: Koller (any time scorer) W9/4
plus Ukraine W4/5, HT/FT X/Ukraine W7/2, CS: 2-0 W13/2
"Ukraine can win this but it may not be until the second half before the
effects of the French game hit the Scots. In WCQ Ukraine won 3 of their 4 games
- two 2-0, one 1-0."
Sat: Man Utd W4/7
plus Best Bet Saturday was Portsmouth W1/1.
RUGBY LEAGUE: one game - St Helens (-8pts) W10/11
RUGBY UNION: one game - Gloucester (-6pts) W10/11 (Best Bet)
GOLF: Sole 2-ball bet W4/5, Sole Nationality market bet E/W T2nd 9/2
OCTOBER - TO DATE:
TV Domestic Football - 8 matches, 20 bets, 10 winners:
5/1, 8/1, 8/1 (ew), 15/2, 4/1, 10/3, 13/10, 5/4, 21/10. 10/11
Oct 1st: Burnley to win at Norwich W10/3, FGS: Andy Gray (ew) 8/1
[place bet won at 2.66/1], Spurs bt Portsmouth W10/11.
Oct 3rd: Dagenham to win at Stafford W13/10.
Oct 4th: Weymouth v Gravesend - full analysis was -
"1. Weymouth are strong at home where last season in the Conference
South they won 17 of 21 at home, and this season after their promotion they have
won 5 of their 6 home games - 3 by 1-0 and 2 by 2-1 i.e. all by a single goal.
In their other game they drew 1-1 with runaway leaders Oxford United.
2. Gravesend on the road are on a 5 match unbeaten run having W2 D3. However,
they were all against teams 12th or much lower in the league. So their away
record is probably flattering and they have conceded 5 in their last 4 away
games.
3. FGS: No bet as Weymouth have scored 8 home goals from 7 different scorers!
4. HT/FT: Weymouth have won in the second half in 3 of their 5 home wins. The
HT/FT Draw/Weymouth bet at 7/2 would have won three times in their six home
games for a LSP of 7.5pts for a 6pt stake i.e. a return of 125%.
5. CS: Gravesend have scored and conceded in 4 of their 6 away games and
Weymouth have won twice (in 6) 2-1 at home."
Three bets in a 'perfect line' all won! - Weymouth W21/20, HT/FT
Draw/Weymouth W4/1, CS 2-1 W15/2.
Oct 7th: Nottm Forest v Scunthorpe - LGS Billy Sharp W8/1.
Oct 8th: Grimsby bt Hereford W5/4, CS 2-1 W8/1.
LEVEL STAKES PROFIT: 27.2pts; % RETURN: 136%.
GOLF:
BRADLEY DREDGE (ew) T2nd @ 50/1 - "best each way longshot".
R1 2-ball: Els to bt Poulter W5/6 (by 6 shots) -
"Ian Poulter yesterday had a left ankle scan and did not practice. If 'Poults'
starts he'll not play well and tournament specialist Els should win. If he
doesn't start then it's no bet. There's no downside to this 2-ball bet!"
RUGBY LEAGUE:
Sole game - play-off eliminator Hull v Bradford: Handicap bet WON and
pts margin bet 6-10pts W6/1.
FOOTBALL - WHAT A WEEKEND: 5 TV games - 4 correct!
* Sheff Utd bt Middlesboro W13/8
* Reading win at West Ham W3/1 (given Saturday to members)
* Burnley win at Norwich W10/3
* Spurs bt Portsmouth W10/11
plus only FGS bet successful E/W 8/1, and on Saturday:
* Yeovil win at Brentford W9/4
GOLF:
* Ian Poulter - no.1 pick and biggest E/W bet for a long time T2nd 40/1
* Sole match bet Poulter bt Furyk W11/8
* Bo Van Pelt E/W T5th 40/1
GOLF: RYDER CUP - JUST 4 ANTE-POST BETS:
* Europe to win W1/1 (given Jan & Jul 2006)
* Paul McGinley to make team W1/1
* Top Euro Pts Scorer - Sergio Garcia (e/w) W6/1 DH
* Top US Pts Scorer - Jim Furyk (e/w) T3rd 6/1
Plus * Sunday Winning Putt to be made by Henrik Stenson
During the tournament members received extra lines on Thursday (8pm), Friday
(1pm & 8pm), Saturday (1pm) and Sunday (9.15am) - on these five lines:
4 Best Bets WON: 5/4, 6/5, 1/1, 8/11!
11 MATCH BETS WON FROM 16 = 68.75% for a large LSP.
FOOTBALL - CONSISTENT DAILY SUCCESS
Mon: Crawley v Oxford - HT/FT Draw/Oxford W7/2, Oxford win W4/5
Tue: Crewe bt Wigan W10/3 ('a real shock is possible'),
Everton W8/15
Wed: Aston Villa bt Scunthorpe 2-1 W7/1
Fri: Preston by Barnsley W4/5
Sat: Liverpool bt Spurs W4/6, Aston Villa bt Charlton W4/5
Sun: Cardiff bt Southend W6/4
RUGBY LEAGUE
Handicap bets in both TV games WON - so 12 of the last 16 have won for a 75%
strike rate PLUS LSP of 42.5pts from other bets.
FOOTBALL
Mon: Best bet Reading W6/4.
Midweek: PSV v Liverpool - Draw W9/4; Hamburg v Arsenal - Arsenal W8/5,
Man Utd v Celtic - Man Utd W4/11.
Fri: Best bet Hull W13/10.
Sat: Best bet Accrington W6/5.
Sun: Chelsea v Liverpool - Chelsea W5/6, CS 1-0 W6/1.
GOLF
No.1 Pick Padraig Harrington T4th 8/1
Sole recommended Lay, 2nd favourite David Toms was T51st.
FOOTBALL
In England's last 8 World Cup, Euro 2008 and friendly games - ALL 8
CORRECT.
LAST WEEK: England v Macedonia - CS 1-0 W6/1, HT/FT Draw/England W15/4.
World Cup v Paraguay - England W8/13
World Cup v Trinidad & Tobago - England W1/6, CS 2-0 W6/1
World Cup v Sweden - Draw W7/4
World Cup v Ecuador - England W1/2
World Cup v Portugal - Draw W11/5
Friendly v Greece - England W1/2
Euro 2008 v Andorra - England W1/33
Euro 2008 v Macedonia - CS 1-0 W6/1, HT/FT Draw/England W15/4.
Saturday Football - 4 Premiership matches covered:
LAY Liverpool [Best Bet] - they lost 3-0.
LAY Newcastle - lost at home 2-1.
Portsmouth to win - W17/20.
Man Utd to win W1/2.
RUGBY LEAGUE
Sole Rugby League ante post advice - St Helens W7/4
GOLF
Canadian Open (Sunday): Lay Justin Rose - R3 Leader - he finished T14th, plus
Bart Bryant to beat Justin Rose WON (by 7 shots) at Evs.
European Masters (Sunday): Bradley Dredge to win W8/11 (by 8 shots).
ANTE POST SUCCESS (given September 6th 2005)
Sole Ryder Cup player bet: Paul McGinley to make Ryder Cup team WON Evs
GOLF: Now 5 winning match bets in a row!
This week's sole match bet: H Frazar bt J Kelly W10/11
plus European Golf - only 2 3-balls: Philip Archer W15/8 (Thu Best Bet) +
W11/10 (dh)
RUGBY LEAGUE: 75% handicap bet strike rate!
Fri Best Bet: Wigan +2pts hcap W10/11 (the 9th winning handicap bet in
the last 12).
FOOTBALL: Euro 2008 LSP
HT/FT Draw/Czech Republic W7/2 plus Tue Best Bet: Bristol City W7/4
Sunday: One bet in Brazil v Argentina - Over 2.5 Goals W10/11
FOOTBALL - large level stakes profit - over 12.5pts including:
Accrington W3/1 (Monday's Best Bet) + FGS: Paul Mullin W10/1
Cheltenham W7/4 (Tuesday's Best Bet)
West Brom W5/6 (Thursday's Best Bet), Man Utd W8/13
Liverpool to win 2-1 W15/2
Aston Villa W7/5
RUGBY LEAGUE
- one game covered (Challenge Cup Final)
Saturday's best bet: Saints -16pts W10/11
plus Saints to win by 26-30pts W15/2 [Saints won 42-12]
NOW - In the last 11 games there have been 8 winning handicap bets AND an
amazing 45.5pts profit from 11 other bets!
GOLF - 100% match bet record.
4 match bets - all WON at 10/11, 10/11, 10/11 and a 2.64/1
double!
Here is a typical analysis (W10/11 by 18 shots!):
"WGC Match Bets - Jim Furyk to beat Phil Mickelson - Amazingly here we
have a match bet that has won in each of the last 5 years! by margins of 8
[2005], 4 [2004], 6 [2003], 2 [2002] and 7 [2001]. That's an average winning
margin of 5.4 shots. As 'Lefty' is not in good form (39th GIR in the USPGA),
there's every chance he'll not be 'at it' this week. Furyk was T1st for GIR in
the USPGA but let down by his putting - and will be better suited by the greens
here."
Outright bets disappointed but our sole nationality market bet (to members on
Tuesday) - Ian Poulter, Top European Player - 3rd 20/1.
FOOTBALL
Season so far: Saturday's special (non TV) bets - 80% Strike Rate
W6/5, W4/5, W2.78/1, W 23/20, W11/10, W6/4, W4/6, W3.15/1 and 2 losers.
LSP = 10.34pts from 10 bets = 103% Return
Saturday:
3 non-TV bets - Reading [Best Bet] W6/4, Everton W4/6, plus double
W3.15/1.
Wednesday:
International Football - Holland [Best Bet] W11/8, sole other bet FGS
Klaas Van Hunterlaar W7/1, England W1/2.
GOLF - Seconditis strikes!
Russian Open - No.1 pick David Drysdale 2nd 33/1.
USPGA - Biggest bet was Mike Weir to be top RoW player 2nd 18/1.
CRICKET
Pakistan top series scorer: Mohammed Yousuf W4/1
4th Test - Pakistan Top 1st Innings Scorer: Mohammed Yousuf W7/2
GOLF
KLM Dutch Open - SIMON DYSON W25/1
The International - STEWART CINK E/W 5th 40/1
Best Bet Thursday: CINK bt TOMS W10/11
Sunday Sole Advice: LAY 3 shot leader Damien McGrane - he was
3rd!
"Two points suggest he may struggle today: [1] In the last 2 years
he's been I/C 5 times, and only once has he beaten the average score of the
leading contenders. His 5 rounds have been 72-76-71-72-73. [2] He finished R3
yesterday with 4 birdies in the last 4 holes for a round of 64 - and in golf 'streakers'
can't keep it up as it's very difficult to follow one brilliant round with
another. He will find it very difficult to repeat that today."
RUGBY LEAGUE
Weekend games: Leeds v Wigan - Wigan +12pts W10/11
Wakefield v Catalans - Wakefield win by 16-20pts W8/1, Wakefield -6pts
W4/5
"Wakefield are in much the better form with a new coach in John Kear
inspiring them to an 18-0 win at Castleford last week while Catalans were
thrashed by 36pts at Wigan, and Catalans don't travel well losing their last 4
away games at an average of 22pts (36 v Wigan, 14 v Bradford, 26 v St Helens, 12
v Huddersfield. Back in May, at home Catalans beat Wakefield by 8pts but this is
a revitalised Wakefield and Catalans are poor on the road. Even without the
suspended 'tough nuts' Catic and Bethan, Wakefield can win this beating the
handicap, and if they can win by 18 at Cas they can win this at home by a
similar points margin."
NOTE: In the last 8 RL games: 7 correct handicap bets plus 7
other bets, 5 won at 8/1, 6/1, 16/1, 5/1 and 6/1 for a 39pts Level Stakes
Profit for a 7pts stake!
FOOTBALL
Midweek: Liverpool v Maccabi Haifa - HT/FT Draw/Liverpool W9/2
Sunday: Crystal Palace v Leeds - Palace Win W5/4, HT/FT Draw/Palace
W9/2
"Goals are likely to be in short supply. Leeds lack pace at the back and
at home Palace may well shade this. Two facts suggest the HT/FT Draw/Palace bet:
[1] Palace have won both games so far in the second half after losing at HT. All
their 5 goals were scored in the 2nd half, they have been goalless in the first
45 minutes of both games. [2] Leeds have played one away game at QPR and
conceded 2 goals in the last 10 minutes. So Palace, with home advantage, may win
however they may do so in the second half."
4 DAYS - 3 SPORTS - CONTINUOUS SUCCESS
Thursday - BEST BET - US golf 3-ball, Woody Austin bt. Ames & Pampling W2/1
Austin shot 65 to win 3-ball by 4 shots!
'He has averaged exactly 68 here for his last seven completed opening rounds
- with six of them in the 60's inc. a 63. Last weekend he was the best
player at Milwaukee with rounds of 63 & 65. So 2/1 is a good price for
an in-form, course specialist with a superb R1 record.'
Friday - RUGBY LEAGUE - TV game, Hull v Leeds
This was the only R.L. game analysed. 3 bets were given, ALL WON.
Best Bet - Handicap Hull (-2pts) W10/11
Points Margin - Hull by 6-10pts W6/1
First Try Scorer - Gareth Raynor W16/1 - 'he scored two tries
when these sides met in April, and three when they met in May, so in their last
two meetings he's got five tries!!' - he scored the first two tries!!
Saturday - FOOTBALL - Four bets from the day's (non-TV) matches - ALL WON
Best Bet - Darlington (4-0) W4/5
Tranmere (1-0) W6/5
Darlington/Tranmere double W2.78/1
Peterborough (4-1) W43/20
Sunday - FOOTBALL
Best Bet - (given to members on Saturday) Coventry W8/5 (backed into
6/4)
GOLF - OUTRIGHTS
Buick Open - No.2 pick Sean O'Hair T4th 80/1
Scandinavian Masters - Robert Karlsson (e/w) 2nd 16/1 (adv)
GOLF
Only two 3-ball bets given W9/5 (dh), W11/8 (dh).
Only two match bets given - both WON:
Charl Shwartzel beat David Howell W11/8
"Coral's match bets put certainties at long odds on against possible
shock players. Unusually this week, I'll take a chance with this young South
African against 4/7 Howell.
1. CS is clearly improving - his last 3 tournaments were the same as out of form
Howell and he finished ahead of DH in each of them - French Open [40th-MC],
Scottish Open [T2nd-35th], and last week The Open [T22nd-MC]
2. The course is dry and the rough minimal which will help CS whose driving can
be erratic.
3. CS had fairly good GIR stats last week, hitting one less green in regulation
than Garcia [T5th], the same as Adam Scott [8th] and 3 more than Furyk [4th].
4. CS has MC here in 2003 and 2005 but he's in better form now and the minimal
rough course will suit him.
5. CS goes out 4th in the morning in R1, DH 7th in the afternoon so CS has the
better tee times."
*Howell missed the cut, Schwartzel finished T2nd.
Stephen Leaney beat Steve Flesch W10/11
"1. In their last two events SL has beaten SF by 3 shots in the John
Deere and by 9 in the Western Open, and he hit 3 more GIR in the John Deere and
9 more in the Western Open.
2. Course form also favours SL who was T14th on his debut last year while SF's
record is MC 1998, 31st 1999 and 40th last year when he was 4 shots behind
Leaney (although they were level with 18 holes to play).
3. SF has 27 minutes 'advantage' in both their R1 and R2 tee times.
This is certainly not a 'rick' but Leaney can win this."
*Leaney was 31st, Flesch missed the cit.
RUGBY LEAGUE
Only two bets given (both Challenge Cup semi-finals) - both WON:
St Helens -24pts W8/13
Huddersfield +14pts W10/11
GOLF: THE OPEN
Following last week's No.1 pick Heath Slocum E/W
T3rd 40/1:
Open No.2 pick - Jim Furyk E/W 4th 33/1
and on Sunday (w/o Woods & Els) - Chris DiMarco W11/4 plus (w/o
Tiger) W5.0 on Betfair.
4 LAYS given pre-tournament - all lost:
Phil MICKELSON, Retief GOOSEN, Sergio GARCIA and Darren CLARKE
plus 1 LAY given Sunday - Sergio GARCIA.
GOLF: JOHN DEERE CLASSIC
No.1 pick - Heath Slocum E/W
T3rd 40/1
Match Bet - Slocum bt Dimarco
W10/11
RUGBY LEAGUE
Only 2 games covered (both on TV), with 2 bets in each. ALL 4 WON!
Fri: Wigan v Salford - Hcp Salford +12pts W4/5, Wigan to win by 6-10pts W5/1
Sat: Hull v Warrington - Hcp Warrington +16pts W10/11, Hull by 11-15pts W6/1
CRICKET
England's first test with Pakistan - DRAW W6/4.
Top Pakistan Bat In Series - Mohammed Youseff 4/1 - scores 202 in his first
innings.
GOLF: EUROPEAN OPEN
J.M. LARA - TOP EUROPEAN PLAYER W16/1 backed into 12/1!
"1. He was T5th here in 2004 with a 73.6% GIR.
2. In 2004, he was T1st Top European, and last year on the Palmer Course he was
2nd Top European.
3. Last week in the French Open he was T40th - but he was 8th GIR at 76.4%, it
was his putting that was poor - however there's every chance it will improve
here as in 2004 on this track he won the Number 1 player for putts per GIR.
4. This bet has been a winner in each of the last 2 years and he doesn't have to
beat 9 of the front 10 in the betting!"
Email received after the bet won: "Congratulations on the JM Lara
selection. I must confess to finding 20/1." B.H. (Received 9th
July)
GOLF: WESTERN OPEN
LAY PHIL MICKELSON - finished T65th
Match Bet - JIM FURYK to bt MICKELSON W10/11 (by 12 shots)
Same email: "The Mickelson advice was even better. I opposed him on the
spreads with match bets against Furyk, Singh and Woods, and sold him on one of
their "Super 10" indices." B.H. (Received 9th July)
JIM FURYK T4th 11/1
FOOTBALL: WORLD CUP
WORLD CUP SPECIALITY BETS - 5 BETS GIVEN PRE-TOURNAMENT, 3 WON
England to be eliminated at QF stage W7/2
Tim Cahill, Top Australia Scorer W7/1
David Villa, Top Scorer (E/W) T2nd 33/1
LSP 17.47pts, 174% RETURN
Last 4 games
Semi-Final: Germany v Italy - [Best Bet] Italy to qualify W11/8
3rd/4th Place: Germany v Portugal - [Best Bet] Germany to win W8/11
Final: Italy v France - [Best Bet] Italy to lift the cup W8/11
Man Of The Match: Andrea Pirlo W12/1
Overall LSP on all OUTRIGHT SELECTIONS, all BEST BETS, all CORRECT
SCORES plus huge GROUP STAGE WINNING YANKEE.
DID YOU BACK IN ENGLAND'S GAMES IN THE WORLD CUP PRE-TOURNAMENT? (Only two
bets)
GROUP B: ENGLAND W4/6: "If England draw with Sweden they look as if
they will do better than the Swedes against the other two sides."
SPECIALITY BET: ENGLAND TO BE ELIMINATED AT QUARTER FINAL STAGE W7/2: "Still
unconvinced by Sven and we haven't got a settled side that's used to playing with
a holding MF player and we must use that system for success against the top
teams. We may make the QFs and in them we will probably play Holland, Argentina
or Portugal and so that may well be our limit."
DURING THE TOURNAMENT - 5 GAMES, ALL CORRECT
England v Paraguay: ENGLAND TO WIN W8/13
"Paraguay looked vulnerable to crosses and conceded from set plays in
recent games" - England won from a free-kick.
England v Trinidad & Tobago: ENGLAND TO WIN W1/6, CORRECT SCORE 2-0 W6/1
"England have never scored more than 3 in any WC match, and it will be
very hot so 2-0 looks the best Correct Score bet."
England v Sweden: DRAW (Best Bet) W7/4
England v Ecuador: ENGLAND TO WIN W1/2
England v Portugal: DRAW (Best Bet) W11/5
"I expect a no risks game that has the 'feel' of a low scorer... the key
could be discipline" - Rooney was sent off!
QUARTER FINALS
Friday: Best Bet - ITALY W8/13
Saturday: Best Bet - ENGLAND DRAW W11/5
TIM CAHILL, TOP AUSTRALIA GOALSCORER WON 7/1
Given as BEST BET on 8th June:
"A proven midfield goalscorer, particularly good in the air, he scored 6
of the 21 goals in qualifying and was the Aussies top scorer. Scored the Aussie
goal last Saturday in the 1-1 draw in Holland. 7/1 looks very big to me."
GROUP YANKEE BET: £980 WIN FOR £10 UNIT STAKE
Switzerland W7/2, Italy W10/11, England W8/13, Portugal W10/11
- 98pts PROFIT
WORLD CUP GROUP G - Switzerland W7/2
"Impressive against Italy last Wednesday in a 1-1 draw. They were
unbeaten in qualifying W4, D6, and in their games against France they drew 0-0
and 1-1 at home. They had the nerve to go to Turkey to finally qualify. They
have a great team ethic and with reports of dissent in the French camp, at these
odds the Swiss are worth a bet. They look to be the best 'value' in the group
stages."
Switzerland were the ONLY non-favourite to win any Group.
WHAT AN AMAZING RUN OF RESULTS
In the final week of the Group games there were 19 GAMES, 16 CORRECT
RESULTS and 5 consecutive winning best bets.
Mon: Switzerland bt Togo W8/15 [BEST BET]
Ukraine bt Saudi Arabia W4/9
Spain bt Tunisia W4/11
Tue: England draw with Sweden W7/4 [BEST BET]
Germany bt Ecuador W4/9
Poland bt Costa Rica W4/5
Wed: Ivory Coast bt Serbia & Montenegro W5/4 [BEST BET]
Portugal bt Mexico W6/4
Holland draw with Argentina W12/5
Thu: Italy bt Czech Republic W11/10 [BEST BET]
Croatia draw with Australia W9/4
Brazil bt Japan W1/4
Fri: Ukraine bt Tunisia W8/11 [BEST BET]
Switzerland bt South Korea W23/20
France bt Togo W1/5
Spain bt Saudi Arabia W2/9
19 BETS, 16 WON, LSP 12.36. 65% RETURN
Also: so far large LSP on Correct Score including last week:
Switzerland bt Togo 2-0 W6/1
France bt Togo 2-0 W11/2
Switzerland bt South Korea W8/1
WORLD CUP 'OFF TO A FLIER' - LEVEL STAKES PROFIT
Level stakes profit on all outright selections and correct scores over the first
10 days including:
Correct Score: Holland 1-0 Serbia & Montenegro W11/2
England 2-0 Trinidad & Tobago W6/1
Portugal 2-0 Iran W6/1
Outright: Holland bt Serbia & Montenegro W20/21
Australia bt Japan W8/5
South Korea bt Togo W11/10
Ecuador bt Costa Rica W1/1
Sweden bt Paraguay W1/1
Holland by Ivory Coast W10/11
plus Ecuador bt Costa Rica, Sweden bt Paraguay double W14/5
GOLF: Barclays Classic - No.1 pick Adam Scott 2nd 22/1 & Luke Donald
T5th 33/1
FOOTBALL: SUPER SUNDAY:
Holland W20/21 & c/s 1-0 W11/2
'5 of Holland's 10 World Cup qualifying wins were 2-0 but with Serbia
& Montenegro so strong defensively and the heat a factor a single goal may
settle this ... Holland have a greater variety of attacking options and more
skilful front players'
Mexico W8/13
'They have taken huge confidence from playing in Germany last Summer in
the Confederations Cup when, let's remember, they beat Brazil'
Portugal W2/5
'I expect Portugal to have a big tournament and their side have many quality
players'
FOLLOWING ENGLAND'S SPOT-ON ANALYSIS
'Paraguay in their reecent games, notably in Norway (2-2), looked vulnerable to
crosses and conceded goals from set-plays ... this suggests that with the height
of Crouch, the heading power of Terry and the superb delivery of Beckham,
England have a key match winning advantage'
England won 1-0 with an own goal from a Beckham free kick.
GOLF: Sole 3-ball bet W 13/10, Match bets 2 out 3 Won W10/11,
W4/5, L.
FOOTBALL: 3 bets for play-off teams to be promoted:
League Two - Cheltenham W11/4.
League One - Swansea (lost on pens in final) - L3/1.
Championship - Watford given before final - W13/10.
plus
England v Belarus - Over 2.5 goals W1.83.
Swansea v Barnsley - Over 2.5 goals W13/10.
US GOLF:
Since 1st April in 8 tournaments -
Bell South Classic: PHIL MICKELSON WON 8/1
US Masters: PHIL MICKELSON WON 13/2, RETIEF GOOSEN T3rd 20/1 (adv)
Shell Houston Open: STUART APPLEBY WON 33/1
Wachovia Championship: JIM FURYK WON 20/1, LUCAS GLOVER T4th 50/1
Byron Nelson: ADAM SCOTT T3rd 22/1 (adv)
The Colonial : ROD PAMPLING 3rd 40/1 (adv), ARRON OBERHOLSER T4th 33/1
Tuesday: Grimsby bt Lincoln WON 6/4
Friday: Salford bt Wigan WON 4/7, Salford -4pts WON 10/11
Saturday: St Helens bt Bradford WON 4/11, St Helens -6.5pts WON 8/11
Sunday: Watford to be promoted WON 5/6
GOLF: ADAM SCOTT - Byron Nelson Championship - T3rd 22/1
Scott nearly made it 5 wins in the last 7 US tournaments.
GOLF: PAUL CASEY -
British Masters - T5th 20/1
FOOTBALL:
Seville to beat Middlesbrough in the UEFA Cup final W7/5.
Watford draw with Crystal Palace (Championship Play-Off 2nd Leg) W12/5.
GOLF: JIM FURYK -
Wachovia Championship - W20/1
GOLF: LUCAS GLOVER -
Wachovia Championship - T4th 50/1
The service was only in operation for three days of this week as Keith took
a short - but deserved!! - break from the line. However, the victory of
Furyk still made it another big winning week for members.
GOLF: JOSE MANUEL LARA 40/1 & MATTIAS ELIASSON 40/1 (T3rd Spanish Open)
Plus - Lara beat Castano (sole match bet) by 13 shots.
FOOTBALL:
Monday: Fulham to bt. Wigan W6/5
Tuesday: Villareal v Arsenal draw W9/4 & NFGS W13/2
Wednesday: Liverpool to win at West Ham W10/11
Thursday: Middlesbrough to bt. Steaua W5/6
Saturday: Blackburn to win at Charlton W8/5
RUGBY LEAGUE:
Handicap bet: Bradford bt. Les Catalans (-22 pts) W10/11
GOLF: STUART APPLEBY WON 33/1 (by 6 shots)
'Best E/W Value'
"Unnoticed Stuart was T19th (his Best Ever Finish) in the Masters,
and he was 13th for GIR and 16th for putting. That's solid form and will give
him confidence. He won the event in 1999 so he's won in Texas and is a superb
wind player. A 7-time winner in the States, he'll be inspired by a fellow
Aussie, Baddeley, winning last weekend."
No.1 European: Simon Dyson T5th 35/1 (adv).
FOOTBALL:
Man Utd to win 2-1 at Spurs W8/1, Arsenal to beat Villareal W4/7,
West Ham to beat Middlesbrough W15/8.
RUGBY LEAGUE:
Only one game covered: Salford +12 to win on Handicap W10/11.
FOOTBALL: 'SPOT ON' ANALYSIS OF LIVE TV GAMES
Monday (TV): Grays W5/6
Wednesday (TV): Portsmouth v Arsenal c/s 1-1 W6/1 & Middlesbrough
v Charlton W11/10
Friday (TV): Sheffield Utd to win at Cardiff W6/4 & Wolves v
Watford draw W9/4 and c/s 1-1 W6/1
Friday - THREE PREMIERSHIP BETS GIVEN FOR SATURDAY
Portsmouth bt. Middlesbrough W4/5
Fulham bt. Charlton W5/4
Double W3/1
Saturday (TV): Chelsea win at Bolton W4/6
FOOTBALL BEST BETS: Monday (W4/5), Wednesday (W11/10), Friday
(W4/5) & Saturday (W4/6)
Monday to Saturday inclusive - 7 TV games, 6 CORRECT (only Man Utd 0-0
wrong!)
TOTAL: 14 bets, 10 winners, LSP 14.4pts, 100% return
GOLF: US MASTERS
No.1 pick Phil Mickelson W13/2
No.2 pick Retief Goosen T3rd 18/1 & 20/1 (adv)Top Aussie Rod Pampling W9/1 (DH)
Sole 3-ball bet W1/1
Sole Match bet WON by 12 shots!
FOOTBALL: Whether midweek European or weekend premiership action,
superb analysis led to:
Champions League
Juventus draw with Arsenal W13/5
Barca bt Benfica W6/1
AC Milan bt Lyon W4/5
Saturday Premiership - 3 games analysed
(TV) Wigan draw with Birmingham W13/5 & Under 2.5 goals W7/10
Portsmouth v Blackburn - Over 2.5 goals W23/20
(TV) Spurs bt Man City W4/6
Sunday Premiership - 3 games analysed
(TV) Best Bet - Man Utd bt Arsenal W11/10
(TV) Liverpool bt Bolton W1/2
(TV) Chelsea bt West Ham W1/3
RUGBY LEAGUE: Saturday - Best Bet - Warrington (+14pts) W10/11
GOLF: The Bell South Classic
* Phil Mickelson W8/1 by 13 shots.
* Sole match bet WON by 6 shots.
* 'In The Know': Padraig Harrington a LAY - "Following last week's MC,
Harrington has changed all his golf grips so this is now a 'get things right
week' - it will take a few competitive rounds to sort this out." -
Harrington was a Lay in the Top European (8th) and Outright (51st) markets.
FOOTBALL: The big midweek TV games
Mon - Spurs to bt West Brom W4/9
Tue - Arsenal to bt Juventus W6/4
"I give Arsenal a real chance for 6 key reasons:
1. The Gunners didn't play on Saturday, whereas Juve played a really tough
draining 1-1 draw with Roma on Saturday evening which they had to play with 10
men for half the game after Nedved's sending off.
2. Juve will be without Nedved so will be weakened on the left side of MF - Del
Piero is another non-starter.
3. The CB's Cannavarro and Thuram may lack pace and could struggle against
Arsenal's quick interpassing attacks led by Henry.
4. Let's remember Juve were very lucky to get through the last round in the
dying minutes after a 'howler' by the Werder Bremen keeper and the German side
scored 3 at home to Juve.
5. Arsenal at home have been in confident mood and the tight ground may not suit
dangerman Juve winger Camoranesi.
6. No away side has won in the last 16 Champions League QF and SFs."
Wed - Man Utd to bt West Ham W4/11
"United should win but it may be by a single goal."
Thu - Basle to bt Middlesbrough W11/8, Delgado FGS W9/1 (first FGS bet of the
week)
"Basle to win @ 11/8 SJ, FGS Delgado (Basle) @ 9/1 PP, BetFred
1. Basle are really strong at home - winning 5 of 6 Euro games this season and
they're unbeaten there domestically in the last 3 years.
2. They did not play at the weekend whereas Middlesbrough played on Sunday, and
we saw at Highbury on Tuesday how another home side, Arsenal, took advantage of
that in the last 50 minutes.
3. Boro are without key players - CB Southgate and defensive shield Boateng who
is a massive loss and star youngster Lee Cattermole is also out.
4. Delgado is a dead ball specialist, takes the penalties, and has 6 Euro goals
this season."
Sat 18 Mar: "Delighted... I put Keith's Premiership bets into a
Yankee and won over £700." AM, Scotland
- Delighted client following success on March 18th when 4 selections all won at
3/1, Evs, 5/4 and 5/6.
FOOTBALL - Last 3 Weekends:
Latest:
Charlton bt Newcastle W13/10, Sole bet on Man Utd v West Brom was
Correct Score 3-0 W7/1.
Mar 11/12 - 7 Prem'ship games analysed, 6 correct: 13/10, 11/10, 5/4, 10/11,
5/6, 4/9.
Mar 18/19 - 6 Prem'ship games analysed, 4 correct: 3/1, 1/1, 5/4, 5/6.
Mar 25/26 - 4 Prem'ship games analysed, 3 correct: 13/10, 8/13, 1/5.
In total - 17 Premiership games analysed, 13 correct: LSP 10.02pts, 59% return.
Plus Internationals (Wed 1 Mar):
£1,130 profit to £100 stake from 4 winning bets from 9.
England v Uruguay CS 2-1 - W15/2
Northern Ireland v Estonia CS 1-0 - W6/1, Northern Ireland to win - W6/5
Wales v Paraguay Under 2.5 goals (final score 0-0) - W12/20
GOLF
3-Balls 2006 Record: 6 wins from 10 = Profit £551 (to £100 stakes).
Match Bets 2006 Record: 9 wins from 13 = Profit £614 (to £100
stakes).
Players' Championship: Tiger Woods another successful lay.
Outright and Nationality markets: Top European Greg Owen W16/1.
Nick Dougherty 2nd 16/1 and Geoff Ogilvy 2nd 22/1 were E/W
winners.
GOLF:
Greg Owen WON 16/1 - Top European Player at Bay Hill.
"1. In very good form last week when 13th in the Honda where his stats
were really good being top 8 for Dr.Accuracy, GIR, scrambling and driving
distance.
2. The previous week, he was T20th at Doral when he was T3rd top European at
33/1 - so he's bang in form. 150/1 in the outrights, I can't see him winning but
in this 16 runner race he looks a solid bet. As always with Greg, so much will
depend on his putting."
FOOTBALL:
Saturday - 4 Premiership Selections, ALL WON.
* Everton bt Aston Villa [TV] W1/1 - given to members on Thursday when
Evs was available. Everton won 4-1.
* Wigan bt Man City W3/1
* Spurs bt Birmingham [TV] W5/4
* Blackburn bt Middlesbrough W5/6
Over the last two weekends, 13 Premiership games, 10 correct!
GOLF:
3-Balls - Just one R1 3-ball - W11/10
Match bets - Just one match bet - W4/5
2006 record: R1 3-Balls - Profit £651 (£100 stakes) from 6 wins in 9 bets.
Match bets - Profit £714 (£100 stakes) from 9 wins in 12 bets.
GOLF:
Only 2 match bets -
Nick Dougherty beat Thongchai Jaidee (missed cut) W Evs
Robert Allenby beat Charles Howell (By 4) W4/5
2006 record now: 11 bets, 8 won - Profit £634.00 (to £100 stake)
Outright Selections -
Nick Dougherty 2nd 16/1 and Geoff Ogilvy 2nd 22/1 (adv), David
Toms T3rd 8/1
WEEKEND FOOTBALL:
The Magnificent Seven - Just 7 Premiership games analysed - 6 correct!
Saturday: Chelsea CS 1-1 15/2 (about to win then 93rd minute goal!),
[Best Bet] Everton W5/6 Won 3-1, Bolton W11/10 Won 4-1, Blackburn W10/11
Won 2-0.
Sunday: [Best Bet] Charlton W5/4 Won 2-1 (given to members on
Saturday), Arsenal W13/10 Won 2-1, Man Utd W4/9 Won 2-0.
Other football:
Monday: [Best Bet] Man Utd W8/11.
Thursday: [Best Bet] Middlesbrough v Roma Under 2.5 goals W8/13.
£1,130 PROFIT (£100 stake) ON WEDNESDAY'S INTERNATIONALS!
ENGLAND v URUGUAY - CS: 2-1 W15/2
"Overall England can win but they will probably concede as they have in
their last three friendlies since August."
NORTHERN IRELAND v ESTONIA - CS: 1-0 W6/1, N.Ireland W6/5
"Sanchez's men have lost only one of their last four at home, and
may have more motivation playing at home than the Estonians who are not in the
World Cup and are not the best on the road."
WALES v PARAGUAY - Under 2.5 goals W12/20
"This bet has won in 5 of the last 6 matches for both Wales and
Paraguay (83.3% strike rate)." - The game was goalless!
Overall: LSP 11.3pts from 4 winning bets (out of 9).
FOOTBALL:
Hereford W10/11 and Under 2.5 goals W7/10, Man City bt
Sunderland 2-1 W8/1
GOLF:
Thongchai Jaidee T3rd 8/1. In the sole 3-ball bet Billy Mayfair bt
Garcia and Austin W2/1.
OVER £2,080 PROFIT (£50 stake) AFTER 5 WINS IN 9 BETS ON WEEKEND TV
FOOTBALL!
FRI: Swansea v Huddersfield - Correct Score 2-2 W14/1 (plus one loser).
"This match appeals as a score draw as Huddersfield have had 3 away
score draws in 4 away games to other top 6 sides and Swansea have had 3 1-1s in
their last 7 home games. Huddersfield have had 3 1-1s and 3 2-2s on the road and
Swansea have had 4 2-2, all in away games.
Correct Score: 1-1 is 11/2 and 2-2 is 14/1 with Lads, Tote, SJ, Coral, BlSq,
giving combined odds of 3.6/1. This bet has won in 6 of Huddersfield's away
games and in 3 of their 4 away games to the top 6 sides. Note: On Betfair, 1-1
is 7.2 and 2-2 is 16 giving combined odds in conventional terms of over
4/1."
SAT: Hearts v Partick - LGS Mark Roberts W20/1 (sole bet).
"The one bet here at a sensible price may be LGS: Mark Roberts (Partick)
@ 20/1 SkyBet cf 10/1 SJ. He's scored 6 so far in their Cup run, he's their
penalty taker, and he was the LGS at SPL Inverness in the last round. As I'd
expect Hearts to be well ahead towards the end of the game, they may relax and
he can then get the consolation goal."
SUN: Liverpool v Man City - Correct Score 1-0 W6/1 (plus one loser).
"Correct Score: 1-0 Liverpool @ 6/1 Lads, Coral, SJ, SkyBet cf 4/1
PP. This bet has won in 5 of Liverpool's 13 home games giving a huge LSP (at
6/1) of 22pts and a 169% return."
SUN: Man Utd v Wigan - FGS Wayne Rooney W5/1, plus Man Utd W8/13.
"FGS: Wayne Rooney @ 5/1 SkyBet cf 4/1 SJ, Tote. Scored 2 against
Wigan at Old Trafford and also hit the post twice."
Weekend TV Football: 5 bets from 9 - LSP 41.61pts
Also at the weekend (not TV) - Brilliant analysis produces 17/2 and 23/10
winning bets:
Blackburn v Arsenal
"[Best Bet] Asian Handicap: Blackburn at 2 with Bet365 off zero
(i.e. Blackburn to win with the draw no bet).
Blackburn to win @ 23/10 BlSq, 21/10 VC cf 6/4 Coral!
Blackburn at these odds look a very solid bet for 4 key reasons:
1. Arsenal will have mental and physical let down after their good midweek win
at Real Madrid.
2. Their away form is poor in the Premiership: P13 W only 3 L7.
3. Blackburn's home form in games against the top 8 is solid as they've beaten
Man Utd and West Ham, and drawn with Bolton and Spurs both 0-0.
4. Blackburn are just the sort of 'physical' side Arsenal struggle against.
Correct Score: 1-0 Blackburn @ 17/2 SptOdds, 8/1 VC - 4 of the Gunners' 7 away
defeats have been 1-0 including 2 of their 3 in 2006."
Earlier: Accrington W4/6
Golf: World Match Play - 4 lays given, All Lost!
Chelsea v Colchester
"OK, it could be a massacre but 5 words of caution...
1. Colchester won 2-1 away at Sheff Utd in the last round (and did us a favour).
2. Chelsea in 2006 in the Premiership and Cup have played 9 and conceded in 8 of
them!
3. Chelsea will surely suffer from the 'Cyclops Syndrome' as Mourinho will have
(at least) one eye on Wednesday's Barca game.
4. The poor pitch may help Colchester today as much as it will hinder Barca on
Wednesday.
5. Last year in the FA Cup at home, Scunthorpe gave the Blues a scare, taking
the lead before losing 3-1.
OUTCOME: A narrow Chelsea win with Colchester scoring as Scunthorpe did last
year.
CORRECT SCORE: CHELSEA 2-1 @ 12/1 Tote,PP
HT/FT: DRAW/CHELSEA @ 11/2 VC,Bet365 - This bet won last year against
Scunthorpe."
Only HT/FT Bet of the week - W11/2
12/1 C/S Winner failed as Joe Cole scored with 50 seconds to go!
Last week: West Ham bt Birmingham 2-0 W7/1, Liverpool bt Arsenal 1-0 W7/1,
Birmingham bt Stoke 1-0 W7/1.
Correct score and HT/FT bets: 4 won from 12 - LSP 18.5pts (£1850 to £100
level stake).
Overs and Unders - just 2 bets: Liverpool v Arsenal (under 2.5 goals) W8/13,
Luton v Reading (over 2.5 goals) W9/10.
GOLF:
Malaysian Open - Thongchai Jaidee 2nd 12/1 plus LAY favourite
Padraig Harrington who T13th and was never in contention.
Nissan Open - Sole match bet of the week W10/11 (by 15 shots!!) plus LAY
Favourite Tiger Woods, who narrowly made then cut and then withdrew.
GOLF:
All bets given to members on Monday and Tuesday afternoon early birdie lines :-
AT&T Pro-Am - Arron Oberholser W 33/1
Mike Weir T3rd 33/1
Johnnie Walker - Nick O'Hern2nd 22/1
Robert Allenby T3rd 16/1
Plus match bet Nick O'Hern 10/11 - 4/6(!) beat K.J. Choi by 3 shots
INTERNATIONAL FOOTBALL:
The African Nations Cup - the final stages - 8 BETS - 6 WON - LSP 11.32pts -
166% RETURN
Semi-Finals - Ivory Coast to beat Nigeria W15/8
HT/FT Draw/Ivory Coast W11/2
Under 2.5 goals W11/20
Egypt v Senegal - one bet only - Over 2.5 goals W14/10!
3rd Place Play-Off - Nigeria to beat Senegal W11/8
HT/FT Draw/Nigeria W9/2
Final - 2 bets lost - they'd have won if Drogba had not missed a 2nd half
sitter for Ivory Coast!
DOMESTIC FOOTBALL:
Tues - Preston to win at Crystal Palace W9/4
Fri - Reading to beat Southampton 2-0 W13/2
Sat - BEST BET Fulham beat WBA 6-1 W10/11 plus Liverpool W1/1
& Man Utd W8/15 in TV games
Sun - BEST BET Man City to beat Charlton W20/21
GOLF:
Sole Match Bet W10/11 (by 8 shots): 2006 record is now 6 match bets, 5
wins - LSP 5.63pts.
Sole 3-Ball Bet W6/4 (by 3 shots): 2006 record is now 8 2/3-ball bets, 6
wins - LSP 7.36pts.
All 2 & 3-Ball and Match Bets in 2006: 14 bets, 11 wins - LSP 12.99pts for a
92.8% return.
GOLF: Dubai Desert Classic
Sole Outright Bet: Ernie Els (E/W) 2nd 7/1
Nationality markets: Bradley Dredge 3rd 16/1 (Top British & Irish
Player)
FOOTBALL:
Fulham beat Spurs W15/8 and on Saturday just two non-TV bets: W13/5 and a loser. On Sunday -
Chelsea v Liverpool Under 2.5 goals W12/20 and Spurs beat Charlton W4/5 (Best Bet).
GOLF: Qatar Masters
Henrik Stenson W14/1, Ricardo Gonzalez T4th 50/1
Only one match bet given all week, W5/4:
"Match Bet - Brandt Jobe beat Stuart Appleby
1. Appelby is unsuited to US Open style courses as he's had 6 missed cuts and
37th in his last 7 starts in that major, and the tough South course here is set
to host the US Open in 2 years, and it's played for 3 of the 4 rounds.
2. Apples here has only made 3 starts - M/C in 2001 and 2003, and T40th in 2004.
3. Let's remember his top class form in Hawaii was based on his brilliant
putting there - he was a very poor T75th (i.e. plumb last) for GIR in the Sony
Open when he finished T7th because he was 1st for putting on those grainy
greens.
4. Jobe is in form - 16th last week and in the last 2 years here he has played
well to finish T10th 2004 and T18th 2005. Apples in 4 starts hasn't yet had a
finish as good as either of those two!"
2006 TO DATE:
5 match bets, 4 won, LSP 4.72pts: 84% return
5 R1 3-balls, 3 won, LSP 2.91pts: 58% return
2 R4 2-balls, 2 won, LSP 2.95pts: 147% return
In total: 12 bets, 9 won, LSP 10.58pts: 88% return
FOOTBALL: Weekend FA Cup
4 TV games - all 4 correct: Newcastle bt Cheltenham W8/15, Bolton bt
Arsenal W2/1 (Correct Score 1-0 W17/2), Man Utd bt Wolves W4/9,
Liverpool bt Portsmouth W4/7.
Also on Saturday, 3 homes: Colchester (Best Bet) W11/8, West Ham W11/8,
plus on loser.
|
To Wednesday 25th January
|
Results of bets recommended to members:
TOP QUALITY ANALYSIS - only ONE 2- or 3-ball was given in the week's two tournaments. No match bets given.
GOLF: Bob Hope R4 3-Balls
"Ideally we need a player who was the only one in his 3-ball to have
played today's new Classic Course in R4 yesterday, and who then shot a lower
score with solid stats compared to his rivals - Jesper Parnevik is the only
player to meet these twin criteria in the final four 3-balls today.
BEST 3-BALL BET: PARNEVIK bt Sabbatini and Maggert @ 7/4 VC:
Parnevik shot 62 on this course yesterday in R4 - his 94% GIR was superb and he
took only 26 putts. Sabbatini played the course in R1 (Wed), shot 71 and hit
only 61% GIR. Maggert shot 69 in R3 (Fri) - 26 putts and 89% GIR. It's possible
that Parnevik will have a reaction to his brilliance of yesterday as 'streakers
often can't keep it up'. Nevertheless, he looks a fair bet as 2nd favourite to
Sabbatine (5/4) here. Parnevik (Page 843 EGF 2006) improved late last season and
he did win this tournament in 2000."
Parnevik W7/4 by 5 and 6 shots.
GOLF: Henrik Stenson, No.1 pick, 2nd 22/1
FOOTBALL:
West Ham by Fulham W11/10, plus Correct Score 2-1 W8/1
Arsenal bt Wigan W1/2
African Nations Cup: Only 2 bets - Egypt W1/3 and Cameroon W8/11
won easily.
FOOTBALL: Monday 16th January
Best Bet: Craig Dargo (FGS) W6/1
"He's scored 8 of their last 14 goals including 4 of their last 5 'on
the road' and he's penalty taker. At 6/1 E/W he looks a sound bet especially
when he's only 7/2 at VC, Hills, Ladbrokes and Blue Square." Dargo was
the FGS with a penalty.
Inverness W4/7: "Inverness look a 'good thing'"
SPOT ON ANALYSIS POINTING TO BIG SHOCKS!
GOLF: (Thursday) R1 3-Ball Analysis of the 5.24pm 3-Ball
"LAY Bo Van Pelt if you're an exchange player or BACK Azinger @ 5/2
SJ,Coral if a conventional backer. The R1 scores here for the last two year of
these players is:
Azinger 67 [2005], 67 [2004]
Barlow 66 [2005], 66 [2004]
Van Pelt 74 [2005], 71 [2004]
Yet Van Pelt is the favourite at 5/4 VC - surely on course form this is a
false price.
Azinger - The windy conditions will suit him really well so as Las Vegas
resident Barlow is at his best in calm conditions and Bo's R1 form is dodgy, Azinger
(please see EGF 2006, pg 946) at 5/2 is the selection."
Azinger shot 69, Van Pelt 70 and Barlow 73!!
Paul Azinger W5/2
FOOTBALL: (Sunday) Sunderland v Chelsea
Most 'experts' expected Chelsea to win at HT/FT at 8/15! and cruise to an easy
victory.
"Obviously Chelsea should win, however in researching this match 3
facts stand out and point to a possible 33/1 bet.
1. Sunderland at home have NOT won a Premiership home game yet they have led
in 4 home matches at HT.
2. At Stamford Bridge in Sept, Sunderland kept it to 0-0 at HT but lost 0-2 in
the 2nd half.
3. Chelsea went to lowly Everton in late Oct and were losing 0-1 at HT before
finishing 1-1.
So if there's to be a surprise it will not be Sunderland winning but it may
be that (like Everton) they take a shock lead at home at HT for the fifth time
this season before Chelsea's superiority sees them win in the second half.
HT/FT: Sunderland/Chelsea @ 33/1 SJ, SkyBet, Lads, Coral
CHELSEA to win @ 2/9 PP"
Sunderland did score first and Chelsea did go on to win although the 33/1 bet
lost!
FOOTBALL: (Wednesday) Carling Cup - Blackburn v Man Utd Draw W12/5
"Blackburn will 'fly' at United from the start and with their good
recent record they can get at least a draw especially as United would be happy
with a draw... it will be a low scoring game."
FOOTBALL: (Friday) Wolves W10/11
FOOTBALL: (Saturday)
Three odds-against homes - Fulham W11/8, Sheff Wed W11/8 and a
loser.
TV game: Blackburn v Bolton Draw W9/4
"Bolton will be without Faye, Diouf, Jaidi and Speed who between them
have scored 6 of Bolton's last 10 goals... Blackburn have had only 67 hours
recovery time since the 'draining' game against Man Utd. It was 0-0 at the
Reebok in early September and Bolton have not lost at Blackburn for 5 years -
this look a low scorer with a draw very likely."
GOLF
R1 3-Balls - W5/2, W6/4 and a loser.
SO FAR:
2- and 3- Balls - 4 of 5 Win: W10/11, W6/5, W5/2, W6/4,
L
Match Bets - 3 0f 4 Win: W10/11, W10/11, W2.66/1, L
GOLF: Royal Trophy
Europe W8/13
Top Europe Pts Scorer: H Stenson W5/1(DH)
Top Asia Pts Scorer: T. Jaidee T3rd 5/1
E/W Double was given at 32/1
This follows the successes last September in the last team Golf Events:
Seve Trophy: D Howell W6/1(DH), H Stenson W6/1, Double W23.5/1
plus GB/IRE W4/7
President's Cup: C DiMarco W12/1, A Scott 2nd 7/1, USA W4/6
GOLF: Mercedes Open
New season starts with 100% record in match bets and 2-balls.
Jim Furyk bt Sergio Garcia W10/11 (by 5 shots)
Mark Calcavecchia bt Brad Faxon W10/11 (by 10 shots)
The above two as double W2.65/1
R1 2-ball C Petterssen W10/11
R4 2-ball V Taylor W6/5 (by 8 shots)
Sadly the pre-tournament outright bets lost although on Sunday Stuart Appleby
was given W2.08 on Betfair.
POLITICS
December 17th 2005 - Charles Kennedy NOT to be Liberal leader at the next
election - "Looks a nice, almost guaranteed 40% return as he looks dead
in the water" W2/5
That was the 4th Political bet since December 2004 - ALL WON!
- David Cameron to be Conservative leader (Dec 30th 2004) W16/1
- Kenneth Clarke first to be evicted W4/5
- David Cameron (Oct 6th 2005) W3/1
- Charles Kennedy W2/5
FOOTBALL
Saturday: Best bet was to LAY Sheffield United
"Colchester at 6/1 may well provide one of the day's big shocks".
3 TV GAMES ON BANK HOLIDAY MONDAY
Plymouth v Leeds : Leeds to win W6/4
HT/FT Draw/Leeds W9/2
Sole goalscorer bet of the day : LGS Hulse W15/2
'Rob Hulse has scored in 3 of Leeds' 6 away wins and he's been LGS
in each of those 3 away games'
Blackburn v Portsmouth : Blackburn W8/11
West Ham v Chelsea : Chelsea W2/5
That's now 7 of the last 9 TV Premiership/Championship games correct!
These results represent some of the winning advice given to members of the
service and do not include every bet advised.
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About Keith Elliott
