Elliott's Premier Sports Betting members are celebrating their 14th winning outright bet of 2011 - on Tuesday morning's Early Birdie Line, Keith gave
SERGIO GARCIA as a strong win only bet in the
Andalucia Valderrama Masters and the rejuvenated Spaniard took the lead during the third round and went on to win on the ultra tough Valderrama course.
The expert analysis behind the winning Garcia bet was:
[NO 1 PICK] SERGIO GARCIA, FOUR POINTS WIN @ 7/1 SKY, B365, VC, PP, CO;
1. Sergio was in top class form in last week's Castello Masters. Happy with his new girlfriend and totally refreshed after 2 months off in her company and on a course he knew so well he won very very easily by 11 shots without any of the usual R4 pressure so it was a win that will have given him a huge boost in confidence without in any way draining him.
2. His stats were of course excellent last week - 1st for both GIR at 87.5% and 1st for putts per GIR! For the season he has his best ever GIR stat 77.78% [ranked 2nd], his best ever Dr Accuracy stat [65.53%] and crucially he's now 17th for putts per GIR.
3. In 2008 he won the Castello Masters by 'only' 3 shots and then at Valderrama the next week he was T4th when let down by his putting which was spot on last week. Last year here he was not in form having missed the cut in the Castello tournament before finishing 10th in this tournament. However we know this course suits as he was 2nd here in 2004, 2005 & 2006.
4. Last week I had doubts re his short putting and whether he'd be a tad 'rusty' yet how wrong I was! This week he must have a great chance to win back to back, and he has the incentive that if he wins he will secure his place in next week's WGC-HSBC Tournament of Champions and really enhance his Ryder Cup prospects.
IN SUM: He has form figs of 7-9-12 in the last 3 majors, and in his last two European Tour starts in 'ordinary' events he was 2nd in the BMW and he won last week. In top form, with confidence sky high, and course proven with his long putter working well he looks to have a top class chance this week
In the week's other tournament, the CIMB Asia Pacific Classic, Keith advised backing CAMILO VILLEGAS, who finished T4th at 16/1. Members were advised to back him with Ladbrokes, the only firm to pay 1/4 odds 1-5 on this event.
Keith analysis was as follows:
[NO 2 PICK] CAMILO VILLEGAS, ONE AND A HALF POINTS EACH WAY @ 16/1 Generally (inc. Lads)
1. Finished his season strongly, with 3 top 10s in his last 4 starts.
2. Just as importantly, he found his touch on the greens. He was T1st birdies in the Deutsche Bank and T2nd birdies and T2nd Putts per GIR in the BMW.
3. Hit over 80% GIR in both the Wyndham and the Barclays, so the ingredients are all there for going low. Indeed 6 of his last 15 rounds have been 66 or better.
4. Won in Japan in 2007, so he has previous in Asia.
IN SUM: On the comeback trail and as a genuine international player he should see this as a great opportunity.
So success in both tournaments covered as the 'King Of Golf Betting' had another winning weekend!
And let's remember that Keith gives only 4 outright bets in each tournament when so many tipsters give five, and some even give six [!!], plus all his bets are given by 10am on Tuesday morning in the Early Birdie Golfline when the best odds are available.
Make The Most From Our Golf Betting Tips
Don't forget - all Keith's outright golf bets are given by 10am on Tuesday morning in the Early Birdie golfline, enabling our members to get the very best available odds and maximise their profits.
The other 13 winners in 2011 have been:
- LOUIS OOSTHUIZEN W10/1 - Africa Open (read more)
- CHARL SCHWARTZEL W9/2 - Joburg Open (read more)
- MARTIN KAYMER W10/1 - Abu Dhabi Championship (read more)
- PAUL CASEY W8/1 - Volvo Tournament Of Champions (read more)
- NICK WATNEY W22/1 - WGC/Cadillac Championship (read more)
- MARTIN LAIRD W50/1 - Arnold Palmer Invitational (read more)
- MICHAEL HOEY W45/1 - Madeira Island Open (read more)
- LUKE DONALD W15/2 - BMW Championship at Wentworth (read more)
- NICK WATNEY W14/1 - AT&T International (read more)
- SIMON DYSON W28/1 - Irish Open (read more)
- WEBB SIMPSON W22/1 - Wyndhams Championship (read more)
- WEBB SIMPSON W35/1 - Deutsche Bank Championship (read more)
- BRYCE MOLDER W40/1 - Frys.com Open (read more)
Next Up... More Winners!!
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