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Wednesday 5th October

Another Fabulous Football Winning Weekend

A BRAND NEW EARLY FOOTBALL LINE exclusive to members was started on Friday 30th September when Keith gave two confident bets for the Weekend's football.

The two bets were:

SPURS TO BEAT ARSENAL in the Sunday TV game at 6/5: RESULT: Spurs won 2-1
1. Spurs early season problems have gone as they now have a really impressive spine to their side in Adebayor, Modric, Parker, CB King [currently fit] and Friedel in goal. Adebayor has been in top form and against his old club he'll be 'on fire' as he was when he scored for Man City against the Gunners last season.
2. Arsenal played in the Champions League on Wednesday and although Robin Van Persie was rested several players played then who will play again on Sunday. By contrast Spurs rested all their key players in their Europa League game on Thursday night.
3. Arsenal will be without Jack Wilshere and probably without others whereas Spurs appear to have few injury problems.
4. The Gunners really have looked vulnerable defensively highlighted by their 4-3 defeat at Blackburn.
IN SUM: This looks a good time to be playing Arsenal and with home advantage Spurs are taken to win.

IPSWICH TO BEAT BRIGHTON at home on Saturday at 6/4: RESULT: Ipswich won 3-1
1. Ipswich were impressive on TV at home to Coventry when they won 3-0 and since then they have drawn 0-0 at Middlesbrough and deservedly won 1-0 at West Ham. They are bang in form with real momentum and restored confidence.
2. They have a solid experienced MF with Jimmy Bullard, Lee Bowyer, and Keith Andrews. Left back Arron Cresswell is a real find with excellent delivery and he's a dead ball specialist while centre forward Jason Scotland is also on top form.
3. Brighton are probably suffering from playing two high profile TV games in 48 hours last week. They conceded 3 at Crystal Palace on Tuesday in the last 10 minutes after which manager Gus Poyet said it was his lowest point as a manager. Morale must be low among the Seagulls!
4. There is a recent form line as both sides played Leeds at home recently. Brighton drew 3-3, Ipswich won 2-1 - such formlines, of course, are not foolproof but that one does favour Ipswich.
IN SUM: Ipswich at home with real momentum can beat Brighton.

Saturday Shocker Delivers Again

And the weekend's winners didn't stop there - on Saturday 1st October, Keith also gave his SATURDAY SHOCKER - this is a bet at odds of 2/1 or greater.

SATURDAY SHOCKER: NEWCASTLE TO WIN AWAY AT WOLVES at 2/1: RESULT: Newcastle won 2-1
1. Newcastle, tipped for relegation, are unbeaten in the Premier League in which they are 4th, are in the last 16 of the Carling Cup, and they have been the 'shock' team of the Premier League so far.
2. They have two in form strikers - Demba Ba when fit is a very powerful striker, however early this season he was weak and tired because he was not eating as he was fasting for Ramadan - now he is strong, well fed and in form as his hat trick last Saturday proved. The other Geordie striker Leon Best is also playing well as he has benefitted from a run of games and has scored 3 so far.
3. They have others who have shone in their unbeaten run including Tiote, a very good MF shield, French signing MF Cabaye who has been a revelation especially with his distance shooting, while in form wide man Guttierez has signed a new contract, and today he will fancy his chance against debutant Wolves' RB Matt Doherty. Overall, apart from a weakness at LB Newcastle now have a really good team spirit, a lot of confidence and real momentum.
4. After a bright start this season Wolves have lost their last two home games 0-2 to Spurs and 0-3 to QPR, and taken only one point from their last 4 Premier League games in which they have scored only once, and today they will have a debutant RB.
IN SUM: Alan Pardew's men could well pile more misery on Wolves this afternoon, and they look a solid choice as the Saturday shocker.

So the SATURDAY SHOCKER now has a record of W11/4, W2/1, Lost, W9/4, Lost, W2/1 - 4 winners from 6 bets and a level stake profit of 7pts, or £700 to a £100 level stake.

Then on Sunday, in a combined odds bet of 11/8, Keith gave CHELSEA TO WIN AT BOLTON BY EITHER TWO GOALS (7/2) or BY THREE OR MORE GOALS at 4/1: RESULT: Chelsea won very easily 5-1
1. Bolton will be without CB David Wheater, MF Holden, striker and top scorer [3 goals] Klasnic as well as loanee Kakuta who can't play against Chelsea and there is also a doubt re GK Jaaskelainen.
2. Bolton play a very open game and they have been poor at the back with LB Robinson and CB Zat Knight looking especially vulnerable. At home in the Premier League they have lost all 3 games 2-3 Man City, 0-5 Man Utd and 1-2 Norwich. If those clubs can score 10 between them Chelsea should certainly score !!
3. Chelsea will be without Torres but with Drogba, Anelka, Malouda and Dean Sturridge they still have four top class strikers and Sturridge will really feel at home here as he played on loan at Bolton last season and is now a very sharp striker. If he starts today I'd expect him to score [13/8 BO].
4. It is wise to be cautious when a Premier League team returns from a midweek foreign trip to play an away Premier League game however Chelsea love playing here where they have won to nil in each of the last 6 seasons including 4-0 in the last two seasons!
IN SUM: Chelsea's superb approach play created several clear chances in Valencia on Wednesday evening especially early in the second half only to be denied by genuine world class goalkeeping. They will surely carve out many chances and they should win with a degree of comfort. The recommended bet which is actually Chelsea to win by more than one goal has won in each of the last 3 seasons and turns an 8/15 outright bet into an 11/8 wager.

So over the weekend there were 4 winning bets at 2/1, 6/4, 11/8 and 6/5 and with only one loser there was a level stake profit of 5.01 points or £501 to a level £100 stake.

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